
CONFIDENTIAL
LFG SpaceX

Terms
Implied Valuation: $800b
Structure: our SPV is investing into a cap table entity
Management Fee: 6% (upfront) | 4% for LFG+ Members
Carry: 20% | 15% for LFG+ Members
Expenses: ~2% reserve (for passthrough expenses)
Unused funds will be returned to investors upon liquidation
Distribution: upon IPO, you will receive shares after a 6-month lockup period.
We are still confirming the exact length of the lockup period.
These terms are your all-in economics (inclusive of LFG and the underlying GP). Due to limited allocation, we cannot guarantee everyone's full desired commitment amount, but we will do our best. Please note that priority will be given to LFG+ Members and others on a first-come, first-served basis.
Although the current SpaceX deal has closed, we’re keeping this page live to track interest for future SpaceX opportunities. If you’d like to be notified when the next SpaceX deal becomes available, please share your interest using the link below. We’ll follow up with terms and timing as soon as everything is finalized.
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About SpaceX
SpaceX is the leading commercial space company and the backbone of the modern space economy. The company operates the world’s most active and reliable launch fleet, with Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy enabling high-frequency commercial, government, and national security missions. SpaceX is targeting approximately 170 orbital launches in 2025 and now represents over 90% of total global mass sent to orbit. Taken together, launch, Starlink, and Starship position SpaceX not as a single-product company, but as a vertically integrated platform powering communications, logistics, and national security infrastructure in orbit.
Beyond launch, SpaceX operates Starlink, a global satellite communications network with over 10,000 satellites in orbit and more than 8 million subscribers worldwide. Starlink has evolved into a scaled telecommunications platform serving residential, enterprise, aviation, maritime, and government markets. SpaceX is projected to generate approximately $15.5 billion in revenue in 2025, with estimates reaching $24 billion in 2026, driven primarily by recurring Starlink subscriptions.
Why it’s working
Structural Cost Advantage
SpaceX pioneered reliable rocket reusability, including first-stage boosters and fairings, dramatically lowering launch costs and enabling a launch cadence competitors cannot replicate. This advantage is reinforced by deep vertical integration, with approximately 70% of production handled in-house, resulting in faster iteration, tighter supply chain control, and a structurally lower cost base.
Recurring Revenue Engine (Starlink)
Starlink operates as a scaled, subscription-based global telecommunications network, generating recurring revenue across residential, enterprise, aviation, maritime, and government markets. The platform is increasingly viewed as strategic infrastructure, securing long-term commercial and government contracts that provide durability and diversification beyond launch services.
Long-Term Optionality (Starship)
Starship represents a significant future catalyst. Standing roughly 400 feet tall and capable of lifting over 100 metric tons to low Earth orbit, the fully reusable, super heavy-lift launch system is the largest and most powerful rocket ever built. It is designed to further compress cost per kilogram to orbit and unlock entirely new mission profiles, including large-scale orbital infrastructure, lunar operations, and ultimately Mars missions.
Potential IPO Pathway
Credible reports suggest SpaceX may pursue a public listing as early as late 2026, representing a natural next step for a business of this scale and maturity. While timing and structure remain uncertain, a public-market transition would provide a clear potential liquidity inflection point.
Timing, structure, and valuation of any public listing remain uncertain and subject to market conditions.
Emerging AI & Space-Based Infrastructure
With Starship and Starlink, SpaceX is one of the only platforms capable of supporting future space-based data centers as AI compute and energy demands outgrow terrestrial constraints. The combination of lift capacity, global connectivity, and orbital energy access creates long-term optionality, including potential integration with AI systems such as xAI, another LFG portfolio company.
Why we’re interested
We view SpaceX as foundational infrastructure for communications, national security, and the next era of the global economy. The company uniquely combines launch dominance, recurring revenue at scale through Starlink, and long-dated optionality via Starship in a way no other space company does. SpaceX’s role as a trusted partner to NASA and the U.S. Department of Defense further reinforces its strategic importance and provides meaningful downside protection.
Over time, we have learned not to bet against Elon Musk. His most impactful companies are built around 10+ year time horizons, with a consistent pattern of taking ambitious, capital-intensive swings that initially appear improbable and ultimately reshape entire industries. SpaceX reflects this long-horizon approach, pairing patient vision with relentless execution at scale.
We have completed 6 Investments in SpaceX, following prior participation in 2021, 2023, two rounds in 2024, and an additional round in 2025, all of which generated meaningful markups. We continue to invest because SpaceX consistently executes at scale, compounds advantages over time, and remains uniquely positioned to define the future of space-enabled infrastructure.
Press
After Years Of Resisting It, SpaceX Now Plans To Go Public. Why?
SpaceX's IPO Should Fuel Space-Based AI Data Centers As A Stepping Stone To Mars, & More
Starlink Traffic Doubles As SpaceX Eyes $1.5 Trillion Public Listing
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Notes
LFG+ Membership: LFG+ Members receive priority access to limited allocation and reduced economics — here are our membership details. To receive LFG+ benefits for this deal, you must activate your membership before Dec 19th.
Limited Information: the information available to us and what we can share will be limited due to the nature of this deal.
©2025 LFG VENTURES
Please note that nothing herein constitutes or should be construed as financial or investment advice. While the information is believed to be accurate, it may include estimates, errors, or inaccuracies. You are responsible for conducting your own due diligence. You are solely responsible for determining whether any investment, investment strategy, security, or related transaction is appropriate for you based on your personal investment objectives, financial circumstances, and risk tolerance. Investors and users should consult with licensed legal professionals and investment advisors for any legal, tax, insurance, or investment advice. Investing in private is extremely speculative and involves a high degree of risk. You should not invest unless you are in a position to lose the entire amount of your investment. No public market currently exists for this opportunity, and there can be no assurance that such a public market will ever exist.